ilmscore | Government Inflation Reporting Accuracy Predictions
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Accuracy

Recent Predictions

Total: 3
Correct: 2
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 1
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
The current money supply growth of 5% compared to a reported 3% inflation rate represents a massive underreporting, leading to significant cumulative differences in cost of living adjustments over years. During the pandemic, reported 8% inflation was actually closer to 15%.
"But still, if the money supply is growing at 5% and they're reporting 3%, then that's still a massiv..."
Sep 30, 2025
Pending
Falling voluntary survey response rates for the CPI are leading to a deterioration of data quality, as lower response rates are associated with lower precision.
"So it says the surveys are generally voluntary and have been exhibiting a downward trend in the numb..."
Sep 30, 2025
Correct
Alternative inflation calculation methods like Shadow Stats and true living cost measurements indicate that real-life expenses are rising faster than the government's reported inflation rate.
"When you look at other straightforward ways of calculating inflation, like if you're going to look a..."
Sep 30, 2025
Correct